上期回顾:14083期头奖开出500万大奖,多场强队出冷是导致大奖产生的直接原因。从当期必发受注情况来看,巴西、德国、阿根廷和比利时都录得了大热走势,其中比利时主胜更是高达92%的成交比例,而对应主胜成交赔率高达1.89,欧洲红魔显然很难在90分钟内拿下比赛。巴西、阿根廷和德国作为夺冠大热方,主胜成交赔率区间也明显偏高,同样是不利于打出主胜的征兆。另外哥斯达黎加VS希腊则是一场胶着对阵,然而本场却呈现出一边倒的热度,哥斯达黎加最终被对手逼平也在情理之中。
本轮异常提示:14084期日乙场次成交场次寥寥无几,世界杯场次则是成交火热。从目前四场世界杯的成交情况来看,德法大战中,德国获胜有偏热的迹象,这点对德国赢球不利,其中平局受到的关注度最低,需重点考虑两队平局收场的可能性。巴西本场比赛并未录得大热,小单可考虑博胆主胜,但大单需要考虑目前不足一成的平局可能性。阿根廷VS比利时,主胜成交率在59%,属正常热度范围,但对应主胜成交赔率达到了2.24,阿根廷在90分钟内拿下比利时看来并不容易。荷兰VS哥斯达黎加,主胜76%的成交比例未形成大热形态,对应主胜成交赔率也明显偏低,本场应是不错的胆材候选。
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 768 |
1 | 法 国 | VS | 德 国 | $21,086 | 6% | $54,620 | 15% | $986,034 | 23% | 3.2 | 26 | 103 | 10 |
$286,288 | 81% | $201,749 | 57% | $846,298 | 20% | 3.35 | 24 | ||||||
$45,144 | 13% | $100,034 | 28% | $2,410,592 | 57% | 2.58 | 50 | ||||||
2 | 巴 西 | VS | 哥伦比 | $40,333 | 29% | $71,981 | 50% | $5,901,479 | 68% | 1.89 | 47 | 31 | 3 |
$48,778 | 35% | $46,920 | 33% | $778,876 | 9% | 3.75 | 12 | ||||||
$50,958 | 36% | $24,574 | 17% | $1,992,511 | 23% | 4.8 | 41 | ||||||
3 | 阿根廷 | VS | 比利时 | $5,052 | 4% | $23,807 | 13% | $1,164,998 | 59% | 2.24 | 46 | 13 | 13 |
$94,669 | 76% | $136,181 | 74% | $316,812 | 16% | 3.4 | 19 | ||||||
$24,524 | 20% | $23,555 | 13% | $498,823 | 25% | 3.85 | 35 | ||||||
4 | 荷 兰 | VS | 哥斯达 | $62,335 | 53% | $30,721 | 23% | $2,765,538 | 76% | 1.54 | 41 | 3 | 3 |
$3,854 | 3% | $61,869 | 46% | $294,959 | 8% | 4.4 | 12 | ||||||
$52,089 | 44% | $42,985 | 32% | $583,277 | 16% | 8.2 | 47 | ||||||
5 | 北九州 | VS | 爱 媛 | $0 | 0% | $36 | 19% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 31 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 40% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 40% | $191 | 100% | 1.02 | 100 | ||||||
6 | 松 本 | VS | 福 冈 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
7 | 枥 木 | VS | 富 山 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
8 | 东 京 | VS | 山 形 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 013 | 013 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
9 | 长 崎 | VS | 札 幌 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
10 | 横滨FC | VS | 水 户 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
11 | 冈 山 | VS | 赞 岐 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
12 | 京 都 | VS | 磐 田 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 013 | 03 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
13 | 大 分 | VS | 千 叶 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 013 | 03 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
14 | 群 马 | VS | 湘 南 | $0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
$29 | 100% | $77 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $78 | 33% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
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